2021 WNBA Draft Analytics

PLUM Draft Model

Jesse Fischer • April 18, 2021
Photo: flythebirdpath

PLUM Draft Model

The PLUM draft model (named after Kelsey Plum) utilizes machine learning to objectively predict which players will succeed in the WNBA.

The model incorporates advanced statistics derived from college play-by-play data which are not available anywhere else (Bayesian RAPM, "Adjusted" box score stats, rate stats, etc.). These statistics isolate the impact and efficiency of a single player by controlling for playing time, pace, other players on the court (opponents, teammates), etc. The model also uses player characteristics (year in school, height) and espnW 100 HoopGurlz high school recruit rank.

If you want to read more about modeling details, check out analysis from prior years such as 2018, 2019, 2020 or reach out to me on Twitter.

2021 PLUM Rankings

Below are the Top 36 players as ranked by the draft model:

Plum 2021

Top Guards


Top Bigs