Jesse Fischer
I graduated from the University of Washington with a BS in Computer Engineering and a minor in Math. Go Huskies! As a Senior Software Engineer at Amazon, my day job consists of solving hard problems while building large scale software systems. On the weekends you'll often find me playing around with machine learning and software. While I should be using this time to enhance my automated stock trading program, instead I often end up using this free time to dabble in sports analytics where I am able to combine my 3 biggest passions: sports+software+analytics. Feel free to contact me if you want to hear more.
Posts
2021 NBA Draft Analytics
Probabilistic Draft Modeling
2021 WNBA Draft Analytics
PLUM Draft Model
NFL Big Data Bowl - Ghost Defender
Using tracking data to learn optimal pass coverage movement and positioning
NFL Big Data Bowl - PassNet
Using Convolutional Neural Networks to predict pass play outcomes in real-time
2020 NBA Draft Analytics
Probabilistic Draft Modeling
Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling
How to improve our prior by incorporating additional information?
Empirical Bayes-ketball
Applying Empirical Bayes to basketball
2020 WNBA Draft Analytics
PLUM Draft Model
2019 NBA Draft Analytics
Probabilistic Draft Modeling
What is the true impact of a player?
Player Impact Stats: Innovative insight by applying RAPM to other stats beyond points
How accurate are advanced stat estimates?
Understanding weaknesses of your data
Women's Bayesian Adjusted RAPM
NCAA Women's Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus
Bayesian Adjusted RAPM
NCAA Men's Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus
2019 WNBA Draft Analytics
PLUM Draft Model
Women's NCAA Basketball RAPM
Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus
NCAA Basketball RAPM
Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus
2018 NBA Draft Analytics
Probabilistic Draft Modeling
2018 WNBA Draft Analytics
PLUM Model v2
PLUM WNBA Draft Model
Kelsey Plum - You are an inspiration...
Sweet 16 Preview
JAM Tourney Update
Modeling NCAA Basketball
Introduction to JAM - Jesse's Analytical Model
Selection Committee Analytics
How about those seeds?
Selection Committee Analytics
RPI vs. The Numbers - How did the selection committee do?
Longevity Draft Model
Now factors in individual game performances!
How to compare historical draft rankings?
Draft Rank Value (DRV) - A new metric to objectively compare draft rankings
One Shining Moment
March Madness Models - Final Picks
Show me the money!
March Madness Models - Money Line Model
This betting thing is indeed hard
March Madness Models - Elite 8/Final 4 Recap
Down to the Elite
March Madness Models - Elite 8 Picks
The round of 16 wasn't so sweet in Vegas
March Madness Models - Sweet 16 Recap
Let's make some more picks!
March Madness Models - Sweet 16 Picks
Did we win any money in Vegas?
March Madness Models - Opening Weekend Recap
Let's make some March Madness bets!
March Madness Models - Round of 64 ATS
When do NBA teams change possession timing behavior?
Possession Timing 101 - Possession Length Correlation
When should a team shoot to maximize points?
Possession Timing 101 - Introduction to PAP/NPD
When should a team shoot to maximize possessions?
Possession Timing 101 - Introduction to NPA
Possession Timing 101
Multi-part series introduction
Optimizing End Of Quarter Shot-Timing In The NBA
Everyone Knows About The 2 For 1, But What About The 3 For 2?
Are hot new data trends actually making NBA teams dumber?
Analyzing past, present, and future market inefficiencies in the NBA Draft
What is the NBA equivalent of the "tall cornerback"?
Finding market inefficiencies in the NBA
More 2014 Draft Analysis
Who will live up to the hype?
2014 Draft Analysis
Machine learning models love Aaron Craft